Study finds nonviolence more effective than violence

Maria Stephan of the International Center on Nonviolent Conflict (ICNC) and Erica Chenoweth of the University of Colorado Boulder have discovered remarkable findings in their study of the relative strategic effectiveness of violent and nonviolent asymmetric conflict.

Their study of terrorist groups, guerrilla movements, and nonviolent resistance movements found that nonviolent resistance movements have achieved partial or full success nearly 90% of the time, compared to 50% for guerilla warfare. It is based on the newly-created Nonviolent and Violent Conflicts and Outcomes (“NAVCO”) dataset, which compiles data on the characteristics of various violent and nonviolent insurgency campaigns and attempts to systematically explain their outcomes.

Another recent study conducted by terrorism expert Max Abrahms found that terrorist groups have achieved their stated objectives a mere 7% of the times. These findings suggest that when it comes to fighting an adversary of superior military might, nonviolent civilian-based resistance is more effective than terrorism or guerilla warfare.